Heterogeneous Paths Through College: Detailed Patterns and Relationships with Graduation and Earnings

Working Paper: NBER ID: w19935

Authors: Rodney Andrews; Jing Li; Michael F. Lovenheim

Abstract: A considerable fraction of college students and bachelor's degree recipients enroll in multiple postsecondary institutions. Despite this fact, there is scant research that examines the nature of the paths - both the number and types of institutions - that students take to obtain a bachelor's degree or through the higher education system more generally. We also know little about enrollment in multiple institutions of varying quality relates to postgraduate life outcomes. We use a unique panel data set from Texas that allows us to both examine in detail the paths that students take towards a bachelor's degree and estimate how multiple institution enrollment is related to degree completion and subsequent earnings. We show that the paths to a bachelor's degree are diverse and that earnings and BA receipt vary systematically with these paths. Our results call attention to the importance of developing a more complete understanding of why students transfer and what causal role transferring has on the returns to postsecondary educational investment.

Keywords: College Paths; Graduation Rates; Earnings; Transfer Behavior

JEL Codes: I21; I23; J31


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Transfer from community colleges to flagship universities (I23)Lower likelihood of graduating with a bachelor's degree (D29)
Transfer from non-flagship universities (I23)Higher likelihood of graduating with a bachelor's degree (I23)
Transfer students (I23)Lower earnings compared to direct attendees (J31)
Transfer status (F16)Earnings outcomes (J31)
Timing and type of transfer (F16)Outcomes (I14)

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