Superstitions, Street Traffic, and Subjective Well-Being

Working Paper: NBER ID: w21551

Authors: Michael L. Anderson; Fangwen Lu; Yiran Zhang; Jun Yang; Ping Qin

Abstract: Congestion plays a central role in urban and transportation economics. Existing estimates of congestion costs rely on stated or revealed preferences studies. We explore a complementary measure of congestion costs based on self-reported happiness. Exploiting quasi-random variation in daily congestion in Beijing that arises because of superstitions about the number four, we estimate a strong effect of daily congestion on self-reported happiness. When benchmarking this effect against the relationship between income and self-reported happiness we compute implied congestion costs that are several times larger than conventional estimates. Several factors, including the value of reliability and externalities on non-travelers, can reconcile our alternative estimates with the existing literature.

Keywords: Traffic Congestion; Subjective Well-Being; Happiness; Urban Economics

JEL Codes: R41; R48


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Traffic congestion (L91)Willingness to pay (WTP) to avoid congestion (R41)
Traffic congestion (L91)Quality of life (I31)
Traffic congestion (L91)Potential welfare gains from congestion pricing (L91)
Traffic congestion (L91)Self-reported happiness (I31)
Percentage of cars allowed on the road (tailpctdt) (R48)Congestion (measured by the Traffic Performance Index, TPI) (L91)

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