Aggregation and Insurance: Mortality Estimation

Working Paper: NBER ID: w9827

Authors: William H. Dow; Kristine A. Gonzalez; Luis Roserobixby

Abstract: One goal of government health insurance programs is to improve health, yet little is known empirically about how important such government interventions can be in explaining health transitions. We analyze the child mortality effects of a major health insurance expansion in Costa Rica. In contrast to previous work in this area that has used aggregated ecological designs, we exploit census data to estimate individual-level models. Theoretical and empirical econometric results indicate that aggregation can introduce substantial upward biases in the insurance effects. Overall we find a statistically significant but quite small effect of health insurance on child mortality in Costa Rica.

Keywords: health insurance; child mortality; Costa Rica; aggregated data; individual-level models

JEL Codes: I1; J1


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
health insurance (I13)child mortality (J13)
health insurance (I13)demand for medical care (I11)
aggregation (C43)upward biases in estimating insurance effects (G52)
individual-level models (C20)more accurate estimation of insurance effects (G52)

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