Is Business Cycle Volatility Costly? Evidence from Surveys of Subjective Wellbeing

Working Paper: NBER ID: w9619

Authors: Justin Wolfers

Abstract: This paper analyzes the effects of business cycle volatility on measures of subjective well-being, including self-reported happiness and life satisfaction. I find robust evidence that high inflation and, to a greater extent, unemployment lower perceived well-being. Greater macroeconomic volatility also undermines well-being. These effects are moderate but important: eliminating unemployment volatility would raise well-being by an amount roughly equal to that from lowering the average level of unemployment by a quarter of a percentage point. The effects of inflation volatility on well-being are less easy to detect and are likely smaller.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: D60; D63; E31; E32; E61; E65; J28; J64


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
High Unemployment (J64)Subjective Wellbeing (I31)
High Inflation (E31)Subjective Wellbeing (I31)
Aggregate Unemployment Volatility (J64)Subjective Wellbeing (I31)
Inflation Volatility (E31)Subjective Wellbeing (I31)

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