Knife Edge of Plateau: When Do Market Models Tip?

Working Paper: NBER ID: w9528

Authors: Glenn Ellison; Drew Fudenberg

Abstract: This paper studies whether agents must agglomerate at a single location in a class of models of two-sided interaction. In these models there is an increasing returns effect that favors agglomeration, but also a crowding or market-impact effect that makes agents prefer to be in a market with fewer agents of their own type. We show that such models do not tip in the way the term is commonly used. Instead, they have a broad plateau of equilibria with two active markets, and tipping occurs only when one market is below a critical size threshold. Our assumptions are fairly weak, and are satisfied in Krugman's [1991b] model of labor market pooling, a heterogeneous-agent version of Pagano's [1989] asset market model, and Ellison, Fudenberg and Mobius's [2002] model of competing auctions.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: R1; G1; E2; C7


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
market size (L25)utility of agents (L85)
number of agents (L85)payoff functions (G19)
market size (L25)market impact effect (G14)
market impact effect (G14)tipping behavior (D16)
increasing returns effect (D29)agglomeration (R11)
market impact effect (G14)clustering in overly populated markets (R32)
equilibria (D50)economic concentration (D30)

Back to index