Working Paper: NBER ID: w9341
Authors: Michael T. Belongia; Peter N. Ireland
Abstract: Traditionally, the effects of monetary policy actions on output are thought to be transmitted via monetary or credit channels. Real business cycle theory, by contrast, highlights the role of real price changes as a source of revisions in spending and production decisions. Motivated by the desire to focus on the effects of price changes in the monetary transmission mechanism, this paper incorporates a direct measure of the real own-price of money into an estimated vector autoregression and a calibrated real business cycle model. Consistent with this new view of the monetary transmission mechanism, both approaches reveal that movements in the own-price of money are strongly related to movements in output.
Keywords: No keywords provided
JEL Codes: E32; E51; E52
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| sharp increases in the price of money (E49) | recessions (E32) |
| sharp declines in the price of money (E49) | economic expansions (E32) |
| real ownprice of money (E49) | output (C67) |
| real ownprice of money (E49) | output growth (O40) |
| real ownprice of money (E49) | spending and production decisions (E20) |