Digital Dispersion: An Industrial and Geographic Census of Commercial Internet Use

Working Paper: NBER ID: w9287

Authors: Chris Forman; Avi Goldfarb; Shane Greenstein

Abstract: Our study provides the first census of the dispersion of Internet technology to commercial establishments in the United States. We distinguish between participation, that is, use of the Internet because it is necessary for all business (e.g., email and browsing) and enhancement, that is, adoption of Internet technology to enhance computing processes for competitive advantage (e.g., electronic commerce). Employing the Harte Hanks Market Intelligence Survey, we examine adoption of the Internet at 86,879 commercial establishments with 100 or more employees at the end of 2000. Using routine statistical methods, we focus on answering questions about economy-wide outcomes: Which industries had the highest and lowest rates of participation and enhancement? Which cities, states and industries had a typical experience and which did not? We arrive at three conclusions. First, participation and enhancement display contrasting patterns of dispersion. In a majority of industries participation has approached saturation levels, while enhancement occurs at lower rates and with dispersion reflecting long standing industrial differences in use of computing. Second, the creation and use of the Internet does not eliminate the importance of geography. Leading areas are widespread, whereas laggards are more common in smaller urban areas and some rural areas. However, the distribution of industries across geographic regions explains much of the difference in rates of adoption of the Internet in different areas. Third, commercial Internet use is quite dispersed, more so than previous studies show.

Keywords: Internet Technology; Commercial Use; Economic Geography

JEL Codes: L63; L86; O33


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
low costs and high benefits associated with participation (D61)high adoption rates of participation (D16)
higher costs and variable benefits associated with enhancement (D61)limited uptake of enhancement (Y90)
geographic distribution of internet use (F61)internet adoption rates (L96)
existing surveys (C83)incomplete picture of commercial internet adoption (L96)

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