The Impact of Tobacco Control Program Expenditures on Aggregate Cigarette Sales 1981-1998

Working Paper: NBER ID: w8691

Authors: Matthew C. Farrelly; Terry F. Pechacek; Frank J. Chaloupka

Abstract: Since the 1998 Master Settlement Agreement between states and the tobacco industry, states have unprecedented resources for programs to reduce tobacco use. Decisions concerning the use of these funds will, in part, be based on the experiences of states with existing programs. We review the experiences of several states that have adopted comprehensive tobacco control programs. We also report estimates from econometric analyses of the impact of tobacco control expenditures on aggregate tobacco use in all states and in selected states with comprehensive programs for the period from 1981 through 1998. Our analyses clearly show that increases in funding for state tobacco control programs reduce tobacco use.

Keywords: tobacco control; cigarette sales; public health; econometrics

JEL Codes: I18


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Tobacco control expenditures (H51)Cigarette consumption (D12)
Excise taxes (H25)Cigarette consumption (D12)
Tobacco control expenditures (H51)Cigarette sales (L66)
Tax increases (H29)Tobacco use (I12)

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