The Cost of Recessions Revisited: A Reverse-Liquidationist View

Working Paper: NBER ID: w7355

Authors: Ricardo J. Caballero; Mohamad L. Hammour

Abstract: The observation that liquidations are concentrated in recessions has long been the subject of controversy. One view holds that liquidations are beneficial in that they result in increased restructuring. Another view holds that liquidations are privately inefficient and essentially wasteful. This paper proposes an alternative perspective. Based on a combination of theory and empirical evidence on gross job flows and on financial and labor market rents, we find that, cumulatively, recessions result in reduced restructuring, and that this is likely to be socially costly once we consider inefficiencies on both the creation and destruction margins.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: E24; E32; E44; G3


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Recessions (E32)Reduced Restructuring (G33)
Liquidations (G33)Inefficiencies in Job Flows (J63)
Recessions (E32)Inefficiencies in Job Creation and Destruction (J63)
Liquidations during Recessions (G33)Wastefulness (D61)

Back to index