The Market for Catastrophe Risk: A Clinical Examination

Working Paper: NBER ID: w7286

Authors: Kenneth A. Froot

Abstract: This paper examines the market for catastrophe event risk -- i.e., financial claims that are linked to losses associated with natural hazards, such as hurricanes and earthquakes. This market is in transition as new approaches for transferring risk are being explored. The paper studies several recent transactions by USAA which use reinsurance capacity from capital markets rather than only from reinsurers. We identify two puzzles concerning the cat protection purchased in these transactions: there is no coverage for the largest, most severe events; and premiums appear well above actuarial value. We demonstrate that both features deviate from what theory would predict, yet are characteristic of many transactions, not simply those of USAA. We then explore a number of possible explanations for the facts. The most compelling are combinations of capital market imperfections and market power on the part of reinsurers. Conclusions for broader capital market and risk management issues are discussed.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: G22


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
USAA's choice to purchase reinsurance for relatively minor catastrophes (G52)USAA remains exposed to larger events (G52)
High premiums paid by USAA (G52)Lack of coverage for extreme events (G52)
Capital market imperfections and market power by reinsurers (D52)High premiums and lack of coverage for extreme events (G52)
Reinsurance market conditions (G22)High premiums paid by USAA (G52)

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