Social Security Pension Reform in China

Working Paper: NBER ID: w6794

Authors: Martin Feldstein

Abstract: China has legislated a mixed social security pension system with a defined benefit pay-as-you-go portion and an investment-based defined contribution portion. This paper analyses the economics of these two types of systems in the Chinese context and calculates the advantage to China of using an investment-based portion. Several options for reform of the recently legislated system are considered.

Keywords: social security; pension reform; China; pay-as-you-go; funded system

JEL Codes: No JEL codes provided


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
type of pension system (H55)long-term cost of providing retirement benefits (J32)
transition from PAYGO to funded system (H55)future taxes (H29)
funded system (I22)required savings rate (D14)
transition to funded system (H55)maximum additional cost for current employees (J39)

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