Who Leaves? The Outmigration of the Foreign-Born

Working Paper: NBER ID: w4913

Authors: George J. Borjas; Bernt Bratsberg

Abstract: This paper analyzes the return migration of foreign-born persons in the United States. We argue that return migration may have been planned as part of an optimal life cycle residential location sequence. Return migration also occurs because immigrants based their initial migration decision on erroneous information about opportunities in the United States. The study uses the 1980 Census and administrative data from the Immigration and Naturalization Service. Immigrants tend to return to wealthy countries which are not too far from the United States. Moreover, return migration accentuates the type of selection characterizing the immigrant population left in the United States.

Keywords: return migration; foreign-born; outmigration; immigration; economic opportunities

JEL Codes: J61; J62


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
initial migration decision (F22)return migration (F22)
accumulation of financial resources (D14)return migration (F22)
erroneous information regarding economic opportunities (F69)initial migration decision (F22)
return migration (F22)selection effect in remaining immigrant population (J11)

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