Currency Option Pricing in Credible Target Zones

Working Paper: NBER ID: w4522

Authors: Bernard Dumas; L. Peter Jennergren; Bertil Nslund

Abstract: This paper develops a model for valuing options on a currency which is maintained within a band. The starting point of our model is the well known Krugman model for exchange-rate behavior within a target zone. Results from model runs provide insight into evidence reported by other authors of mispricing of currency options by extensions of the Black-Scholes model.

Keywords: currency options; target zones; exchange rate; Black-Scholes model; Krugman model

JEL Codes: G13; F31


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
exchange rate behavior (influenced by target zones) (F31)valuation of currency options (F31)
target zones (R32)exchange rate behavior (F31)
mispricing of currency options (F31)differences in target zones influence exchange rate distributions (F31)

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