Working Paper: NBER ID: w4348
Authors: Janet Currie; Bruce Fallick
Abstract: Using panel data on individuals from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, we find that employed individuals who were affected by the increases in the federal minimum wage in 1979 and 1980 were 3 to 4% less likely to be employed a year later, even after accounting for the fact that workers employed at the minimum wage may differ from their peers in unobserved ways. These results were obtained using a methodology similar in spirit 10 Card's recent work on the topic, although we use individual rather than state-level data, and an earlier time period.
Keywords: Minimum Wage; Employment; Labor Studies
JEL Codes: J38
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Increases in the federal minimum wage (J38) | Likelihood of employment one year later (J68) |
| Likelihood of employment one year later (J68) | Employment outcomes of workers affected by minimum wage increase (J38) |
| Minimum wage increases (J38) | Wages of those who remained employed (J31) |