Eliciting Willingness to Pay to Decompose Beliefs and Preferences that Determine Selection into Competition in Lab Experiments

Working Paper: NBER ID: w31930

Authors: Yvonne Jie Chen; Deniz Dutz; Li Li; Sarah Moon; Edward J. Vytlacil; Songfa Zhong

Abstract: This paper develops a partial-identification methodology for analyzing self-selection into alternative compensation schemes in a laboratory environment. We formulate a model of self-selection in which individuals select the compensation scheme with the largest expected valuation, which depends on individual- and scheme-specific beliefs and non-monetary preferences. We characterize the resulting sharp identified sets for individual-specific willingness-to-pay, subjective beliefs, and preferences, and develop conditions on the experimental design under which these identified sets are informative. We apply our methods to examine gender differences in preference for winner-take-all compensation schemes. We find that what has commonly been attributed to a gender difference in preference for performing in a competition is instead explained by men being more confident than women in their probability of winning a future (though not necessarily a past) competition.

Keywords: self-selection; competition; gender differences; willingness to pay; beliefs and preferences

JEL Codes: C25; C91; J16; J31


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
gender differences in confidence about winning future competitions (Z22)willingness to enter competition (L13)
men's overconfidence regarding chances of winning (D80)gender gap in competition entry (J16)
beliefs about future performance (D84)selection into competitive compensation schemes (M52)
gender differences in confidence (J16)willingness to pay for competitive schemes (D44)
men valuing competitive compensation schemes higher than women (J33)gender gap in competition entry (J16)

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