Constitutions and Order: A Theory and Evidence from Colombia and the United States

Working Paper: NBER ID: w31501

Authors: Leopoldo Fergusson; Javier Mejia; James A. Robinson; Santiago Torres

Abstract: We propose a framework to explain why some societies may end up with different constitutional solutions to the problem of maintaining order in the face of self-interested behavior. Though the salient intellectual tradition since Hobbes has focused on how institutional design is used to eradicate violence, our framework illustrates that equilibrium constitutions may in fact have to deliberately allow for violence. This arises because some societies are unable to use institutions to influence income distribution. In this case, a constitutional tolerance of violence emerges as a credible way for an incumbent to meet the participation constraint of a challenger. We illustrate the results with the comparative constitutional history of the US and Colombia.

Keywords: Constitutional Design; Political Order; Violence; Colombia; United States

JEL Codes: D70; D74; K10; P00


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
constitutional design (K10)societal order (P16)
weak institutions (O17)constitutional design allows violence (P37)
political uncertainty and expected inequality (D89)low cost of rebellion (D74)
constitutional design (K10)likelihood of rebellion (D74)
Colombian constitutional design (K10)culture of rebellion (D74)

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