Mortality Differentials, the Racial and Ethnic Retirement Wealth Gap, and the Great Pandemic

Working Paper: NBER ID: w31200

Authors: Edward N. Wolff

Abstract: Using the Survey of Consumer Finances, I find that the Black/white gap in standard net worth widened from 1989 to 2019 but narrowed between Hispanics and (non-Hispanic) whites. When the definition of wealth is expanded to incorporate Social Security and defined benefit pension wealth (both the discounted sum of future benefits), the wealth gap is sharply reduced, especially for the ratio of median wealth. The Black/white and Hispanic/white disparity in Social Security wealth lessened considerably over 1989-2019. In contrast, the Black/white ratio of mean augmented wealth showed no change, though the ratio of median augmented wealth progressed. The Hispanic/white ratio of both mean and median augmented wealth advanced as well. The COVID-19 Pandemic struck in 2020 and hit the minority community much harder than whites in terms of mortality rates. Besides claiming over a million lives overall, it lopped off 4.7 percent of Social Security wealth among whites, 11.5 percent among Blacks, and 13.1 percent among Hispanics. As a result, while mean augmented wealth dipped only 1.2 percent among whites, it fell 6.7 percent among Black households and 7.3 percent among Hispanics. The effect was even stronger on median values – declines of a 2.6, 9.3 and 12.1 percent, respectively.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: D31; J15


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
racial mortality gap (I14)differences in defined benefit pension wealth (DBW) (J32)
racial mortality gap (I14)differences in social security wealth (SSW) (H55)
improvements in mortality rates (I14)enhanced wealth outcomes (G59)
COVID-19 pandemic (H12)reduction in wealth (E21)
mortality rates (I12)ratio of augmented wealth (E25)

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