Man vs Machine: Technological Promise and Political Limits of Automated Regulation Enforcement

Working Paper: NBER ID: w30816

Authors: Oliver Browne; Ludovica Gazze; Michael Greenstone; Olga Rostapshova

Abstract: New technologies allow perfect detection of environmental violations at near-zero marginal cost, but take-up is low. We conducted a field experiment to evaluate enforcement of water conservation rules with smart meters in Fresno, CA. Households were randomly assigned combinations of enforcement method (automated or in-person inspections) and fines. Automated enforcement increased households’ punishment rates from 0.1 to 14%, decreased summer water use by 3%, and reduced violations by 17%, while higher fine levels had little effect. However, automated enforcement also increased customer complaints by 1,102%, ultimately causing its cancellation and highlighting that political considerations limit technological solutions to enforcement challenges.

Keywords: Automated Enforcement; Water Conservation; Field Experiment; Political Backlash

JEL Codes: K42; Q25


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
increased punishment rates (K42)decreased summer water use (Q25)
automated enforcement (R48)increased customer complaints (L15)
automated enforcement (R48)increased punishment rates (K42)
automated enforcement (R48)decreased summer water use (Q25)

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