Working Paper: NBER ID: w30811
Authors: Giovanni Peri; Reem Zaiour
Abstract: From the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic to late 2021, international immigration flows to the US decreased significantly. We document the timing and the characteristics of these significant changes in flows, their evolution until late 2022 and their geographic and sector distribution. We consider, in a similar way, changes in internal native mobility in the US, before and after Covid-19. We then connect cross-state native mobility to foreign immigration, the emergence of remote-work options, and changes in labor demand, before and after Covid. In spite of the large changes in labor markets and international migration, we do not measure any significant changes in native internal mobility. Then, using a panel regression and a shift-share IV, we find that the post-Covid drop in immigration and differential increase in remote-work options across sectors and states were not associated with changes in natives' cross-state mobility. We discuss possible implications of the decline in immigration and low native mobility on unfilled jobs in local labor markets.
Keywords: No keywords provided
JEL Codes: J61
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| drop in immigration (K37) | native mobility (J61) |
| emergence of remote work options (J29) | native mobility (J61) |
| drop in immigration (K37) | increase in mobility across sectors (J62) |
| emergence of remote work options (J29) | increase in mobility across sectors (J62) |