COVID-19 Learning Loss and Recovery: Panel Data Evidence from India

Working Paper: NBER ID: w30552

Authors: Abhijeet Singh; Mauricio Romero; Karthik Muralidharan

Abstract: We use a panel survey of ~19,000 primary-school-aged children in rural Tamil Nadu to study ‘learning loss’ after COVID-19-induced school closures, and the pace of recovery after schools reopened. Students tested in December 2021 (18 months after school closures) displayed learning deficits of ~0.7σ standard deviations in math and ~0.34σ standard deviations in language compared to identically-aged students in the same villages in 2019. Two-thirds of this deficit was made up within 6 months after school reopening. Further, while learning loss was regressive, the recovery was progressive. A government-run after-school remediation program contributed ~24% of the cohort-level recovery, and likely aided the progressive recovery.

Keywords: COVID-19; learning loss; education recovery; India; Tamil Nadu

JEL Codes: H52; I21; I25; O15


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Learning deficits attributable to COVID-19 school closures (I21)Learning loss (I21)
Learning loss (I21)Recovery in learning outcomes (I21)
Attendance in the ITK program (I21)Increase in test scores (I24)
Attendance in the ITK program (I21)Contribution to recovery in Tamil (H84)
Attendance in the ITK program (I21)Contribution to recovery in mathematics (C02)

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