New Pricing Models, Same Old Phillips Curves

Working Paper: NBER ID: w30264

Authors: Adrien Auclert; Rodolfo D. Rigato; Matthew Rognlie; Ludwig Straub

Abstract: We show that, in a broad class of menu cost models, the first-order dynamics of aggregate inflation in response to arbitrary shocks to aggregate costs are nearly the same as in Calvo models with suitably chosen Calvo adjustment frequencies. We first prove that the canonical menu cost model is first-order equivalent to a mixture of two time-dependent models, which reflect the extensive and intensive margins of price adjustment. We then show numerically that, in any plausible parameterization, this mixture is well-approximated by a single Calvo model. This close numerical fit carries over to other standard specifications of menu cost models. Thus, for shocks that are not too large, the Phillips curve for a menu cost model looks like the New Keynesian Phillips curve, but with a higher slope.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: E31; E52


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
marginal costs (D40)inflation (E31)
menu cost models (E10)inflation (E31)
Calvo models (C59)inflation (E31)
menu cost models (E10)New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) (E12)
shocks in marginal costs (E39)impulse responses of inflation (E31)
Phillips curve (E31)inflation dynamics (E31)
menu cost models (E10)higher slope in Phillips curve (E31)
generalized Phillips curve (E31)mapping between impulse responses (C45)

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