Structural Change Within Versus Across Firms: Evidence from the United States

Working Paper: NBER ID: w30127

Authors: Xiang Ding; Teresa C. Fort; Stephen J. Redding; Peter K. Schott

Abstract: We document the role of intangible capital in manufacturing firms' substantial contribution to non-manufacturing employment growth from 1977-2019. Exploiting data on firms' "auxiliary" establishments, we develop a novel measure of proprietary in-house knowledge and show that it is associated with increased growth and industry switching. We rationalize this reallocation in a model where firms combine physical and knowledge inputs as complements, and where producing the latter in-house confers a sector-neutral productivity advantage facilitating within-firm structural transformation. Consistent with the model, manufacturing firms with auxiliary employment pivot towards services in response to a plausibly exogenous decline in their physical input prices.

Keywords: intangible capital; manufacturing; non-manufacturing employment; structural change

JEL Codes: D24; F14; L16; O47


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
decline in physical input prices (Q31)non-manufacturing employment growth (O14)
in-house knowledge production (O36)non-manufacturing employment growth (O14)
presence of in-house knowledge workers (O36)non-manufacturing employment growth (O14)
greater auxiliary employment shares (J68)faster growth and pivot towards new industries (O14)
10 percentage point increase in input exposure (C67)19% increase in non-manufacturing employment (L69)
output shock (E23)larger negative effect on manufacturing employment (F66)

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