GDPR and the Lost Generation of Innovative Apps

Working Paper: NBER ID: w30028

Authors: Rebecca Janen; Reinhold Kesler; Michael E. Kummer; Joel Waldfogel

Abstract: Using data on 4.1 million apps at the Google Play Store from 2016 to 2019, we document that GDPR induced the exit of about a third of available apps; and in the quarters following implementation, entry of new apps fell by half. We estimate a structural model of demand and entry in the app market. Comparing long-run equilibria with and without GDPR, we find that GDPR reduces consumer surplus and aggregate app usage by about a third. Whatever the privacy benefits of GDPR, they come at substantial costs in foregone innovation.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: O31; L82


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
GDPR (K24)exit of over a third of available apps (Y60)
GDPR (K24)decreased app entry rates (J68)
decreased app entry rates (J68)fewer successful apps reaching significant cumulative installations (C46)
GDPR (K24)increased operational costs and reduced revenue for app developers (D49)
increased operational costs and reduced revenue for app developers (D49)exit of apps (Y60)
GDPR (K24)apps became less intrusive (L96)
GDPR (K24)average usage per app rose for vintages launched after GDPR (Y10)
average usage per app rose for vintages launched after GDPR (Y10)long-run reduction in consumer surplus (D11)
GDPR (K24)long-run reduction in aggregate app usage (D16)

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