The Long-Run Effects of Psychotherapy on Depression, Beliefs, and Economic Outcomes

Working Paper: NBER ID: w30011

Authors: Bhargav Bhat; Jonathan De Quidt; Johannes Haushofer; Vikram H. Patel; Gautam Rao; Frank Schilbach; Pierreluc P. Vautrey

Abstract: We revisit two clinical trials that randomized depressed adults in India (n=775) to a brief course of psychotherapy or a control condition. Four to five years later, the treatment group was 11 percentage points less likely to be depressed than the control group. The more effective intervention averted 9 months of depression on average over five years and cost only $66 per recipient. Therapy changed people’s beliefs about themselves in three ways. First, it reduced their likelihood of seeing themselves as a failure or feeling bad about themselves. Second, when faced with a novel work opportunity, therapy reduced over-optimistic belief updating in response to feedback and thus reduced overconfidence. Third, it increased self-assessed levels of patience and altruism. Therapy did not increase levels of employment or consumption, possibly because of other constraints on employment in the largely female study sample.

Keywords: psychotherapy; depression; economic outcomes; beliefs; randomized controlled trials

JEL Codes: D03; D91; I15; O12


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Psychotherapy (D91)Economic Beliefs and Behaviors (P19)
Psychotherapy (D91)Employment Outcomes (J68)
Psychotherapy (D91)Consumption Outcomes (E21)
Psychotherapy (D91)Depression (E32)
Psychotherapy (D91)PHQ-9 Scores (Y10)
Psychotherapy (D91)Long-term Depression Outcomes (I12)
Psychotherapy (D91)Feelings of Failure (D91)
Psychotherapy (D91)Self-Assessed Patience and Altruism (D64)

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