Working Paper: NBER ID: w29982
Authors: Linda S. Goldberg; Fabiola Ravazzolo
Abstract: In March 2020, the Federal Reserve eased the terms on its standing swap lines in collaboration with other central banks, reactivated temporary swap agreements, and then introduced the new Foreign and International Monetary Authorities (FIMA) repo facility. We provide new evidence on how the central bank swap lines and FIMA repo facility reduce strains in global dollar funding markets and US Treasury markets during extreme stress events. These facilities are found to contribute to the narrowing of foreign exchange swap basis spreads and to reduce the sensitivity of global funding strain metrics to risk sentiment deterioration. Cross border flows through banks for excess liquidity support purposes are reduced in the near term, and the risk sensitivity of equity and bond fund flows declines. However, access to these facilities leave longer-term patterns of liquidity and capital flows across borders broadly unchanged. While official sector liquidity hoarding and “dash for cash” type of activity is expected to be lower with access to these facilities, initial evidence does not show general differential changes in foreign exchange reserve holdings by foreign central banks in line with the type of liquidity access.
Keywords: No keywords provided
JEL Codes: F31; F33; F42; G01; G15
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Access to central bank swap lines and the FIMA repo facility (F33) | Reduces strains in global dollar funding markets (F65) |
| Access to central bank swap lines and the FIMA repo facility (F33) | Narrows foreign exchange swap basis spreads (F31) |
| Access to central bank swap lines and the FIMA repo facility (F33) | Reduces sensitivity of global funding strain metrics to deteriorating risk sentiment (F65) |
| Access to central bank swap lines and the FIMA repo facility (F33) | Lower costs of borrowing dollars in the FX swap market (E43) |
| Access to central bank swap lines and the FIMA repo facility (F33) | Supports credit provision in the U.S. and abroad (F34) |