Working Paper: NBER ID: w29835
Authors: Sihao Chen; Michael B. Devereux; Kang Shi; Jenny Xu
Abstract: We explore how consumption heterogeneity affects the international transmission mechanism of monetary shocks and the choice of optimal monetary policy in an open economy. Incorporating two types of agents (Ricardian versus Keynesian) into a standard open economy macro model, we find that there are sizeable ranges of household heterogeneity in which monetary policy become ineffective, but this depends sensitively on the interaction of aggregate demand and relative price effects. We derive the global optimal monetary policy with household heterogeneity under alternative pricing regimes. PPI targeting is still the optimal monetary policy under PCP and can restore the economy to the efficient equilibrium. Under LCP, however, the presence of consumption heterogeneity and currency misalignment implies that CPI inflation targeting is no longer optimal in most cases. Finally, we show that when fiscal instruments such as an import tax and export subsidy are introduced, both currency misalignment and consumption heterogeneity can be eliminated, and even under LCP, PPI targeting is the optimal monetary rule.
Keywords: Consumption Heterogeneity; Monetary Policy; Open Economy; Ricardian Consumers; Keynesian Consumers
JEL Codes: F3; F4
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| household heterogeneity (D19) | effectiveness of monetary policy (E52) |
| share of Keynesian households (D12) | ineffectiveness of expansionary monetary policy (E52) |
| aggregate consumption effects and relative price effects (F62) | overall impact of monetary policy on output (E60) |
| more Ricardian households (D11) | increase in output (E23) |
| higher proportion of Keynesian households (D12) | reduced output (E23) |
| PPI targeting (L65) | optimality under PCP regime (C61) |
| consumption heterogeneity and currency misalignment (F31) | suboptimality of CPI targeting (E31) |
| introduction of fiscal tools (E62) | restoration of effectiveness of PPI targeting (G34) |