Where Do My Tax Dollars Go? Tax Morale Effects of Perceived Government Spending

Working Paper: NBER ID: w29789

Authors: Matias Giaccobasso; Brad C. Nathan; Ricardo Perez-Truglia; Alejandro Zentner

Abstract: Do perceptions about how the government spends tax dollars affect the willingness to pay taxes? We designed a field experiment to test this hypothesis in a natural, high-stakes context and via revealed preferences. We measure how taxpayers perceive the government is using their tax dollars, such as the percentage of their property taxes that fund public schools. We find that, even though accurate information is available, taxpayers still have substantial misperceptions. We used an information provision experiment to induce exogenous shocks to these perceptions. Using administrative data on property tax appeals, we measure the causal effect of perceived government spending on the willingness to pay taxes. We find that perceptions about government spending have a significant effect on the probability of filing a tax appeal and in a manner that is consistent with a reciprocal motivation: individuals are more willing to pay taxes if they believe that the government services funded by those taxes will be of greater personal benefit to them. We discuss implications for the study of tax morale.

Keywords: tax morale; government spending; field experiment; reciprocal motivation

JEL Codes: C93; H26; I22; Z13


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Perceptions of government spending (E62)Willingness to pay taxes (H29)
Perceived school share lower than actual share (I24)Less likely to file tax appeals (households with children) (H31)
Perceived school share higher than actual share (I23)More likely to file tax appeals (households without children) (H31)
10 percentage point increase in perceived school share (I24)3.67 percentage point decrease in tax appeals (households with children) (H31)
10 percentage point increase in perceived school share (I24)2.78 percentage point increase in tax appeals (households without children) (H31)

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