Working Paper: NBER ID: w29648
Authors: Jonathan A. Parker; Jake Schild; Laura Erhard; David Johnson
Abstract: Using the Consumer Expenditure Survey and variation in amount, receipt, and timing of receipt of Economic Impact Payments (EIPs) authorized by the CARES Act, this paper estimates that people spent less of their EIPs in the few months following arrival than in similar previous policy episodes and than estimated by existing studies using other types of data. Accounting for volatility during the pandemic and comparing the consumer spending behavior of broadly similar households, people spent roughly 10 percent (standard error 3.4) of their EIPs on non-durable goods and services in the three months of arrival, with little evidence of additional spending in the subsequent three months or on durable goods. People who report mostly spending their EIPs spent 14.3\\% (3.7) of their EIPs compared to 5.9\\% (8.3) and -1.6\\% (5.0) for those who report mostly paying off debt and saving respectively. People with low liquid wealth and people receiving their EIPs on debit cards spent at higher rates: 21.7\\% (6.4) and 36.8\\% (24.6) respectively, with economically larger estimates for total spending.
Keywords: Economic Impact Payments; Consumer Spending; Consumer Expenditure Survey
JEL Codes: D14; D15; E21; E62; G5; H31
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Economic Impact Payments (EIPs) (F24) | household spending responses (D12) |
| EIPs (F33) | spending on nondurable goods and services (E20) |
| spending on EIPs (H53) | spending behavior (D12) |
| debt repayment or saving (D14) | spending behavior (D12) |
| low liquid wealth (E21) | spending behavior (D12) |
| receiving EIPs on debit cards (E40) | spending behavior (D12) |