Is Digital Credit Filling a Hole or Digging a Hole? Evidence from Malawi

Working Paper: NBER ID: w29573

Authors: Valentina Brailovskaya; Pascaline Dupas; Jonathan Robinson

Abstract: Digital credit has expanded rapidly in Africa, mostly in the form of short-term, high-interest loans offered via mobile money. Loan terms are often opaque and consumer financial literacy is low, providing opportunities for predatory lending. A regression discontinuity analysis shows no negative effect of access to digital loans on financial well-being, but the majority of borrowers fail to repay on time and incur high late fees. We randomize exposure to a short phone-based financial literacy intervention. The intervention improved knowledge and marginally improved loan repayment but increased loan demand, increasing overall default risk.

Keywords: Digital Credit; Financial Literacy; Malawi

JEL Codes: D14; O12; O16


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Access to digital loans (G21)Alternative credit sources (G51)
Financial literacy intervention (G53)Loan repayment (G51)
Financial literacy intervention (G53)Loan demand (G51)
Financial literacy intervention (G53)Risk of default (G33)
Access to digital loans (G21)Financial wellbeing (G51)

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