Working Paper: NBER ID: w29234
Authors: Stephen R. Boucher; Michael R. Carter; Jon Einar Flatnes; Travis J. Lybbert; Jonathan G. Malacarne; Paswel Marenya; Laura A. Paul
Abstract: Utilizing a multi-year, spatially diversified randomized controlled trial spanning two African countries, this paper explores whether bundled genetic and financial technologies can boost the resilience and productivity of small-scale farmers who are exposed to significant risk. The analysis shows that both moderate droughts and more severe yield losses undermine the resilience of control group households, and that these shocks have long-lasting effects as they decapitalize households who invest less in years following these shocks. Severe yield shocks also increase hunger and food insecurity. The genetic technology— drought tolerant seeds—provides significant protection against moderate drought events and mitigates the long-term drop in farm productivity seen in the control group. The financial technology—satellite-based index insurance—offsets the long-term consequences of severe yield losses that are not mitigated by the drought tolerant seeds. Finally, the analysis shows that farmers who experienced shocks and saw both technologies in action subsequently increase their agricultural investment at both the extensive and intensive margins. The technologies thus not only allow farmers to return to their pre-shock positions, but also allow them to move toward higher expected incomes. Unfortunately, this apparent experiential learning cuts both ways. Farmers who did not experience the efficacy of the risk management technologies backed away from using them in the following season. Our findings thus showcase important complementarities between genetic and financial risk mitigating technologies as well as the challenge of inducing sustained uptake of technologies that only occasionally reveal their benefits.
Keywords: No keywords provided
JEL Codes: O12; O55; Q12; Q14; Q16
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| bundled genetic and financial technologies (G50) | economic resilience (R23) |
| bundled genetic and financial technologies (G50) | resilience dividend (G52) |
| moderate droughts (Q54) | undermine resilience (Q54) |
| genetic technology of drought-tolerant seeds (Q16) | protection against moderate drought events (Q54) |
| drought-tolerant seeds (Q54) | mitigate long-term drop in productivity (O49) |
| financial technology of satellite-based index insurance (G22) | offset long-term consequences of severe yield losses (Q16) |
| farmers who experienced shocks and utilized both technologies (Q16) | increased agricultural investment (Q14) |
| lack of efficacy of technologies (O33) | withdrawal from using technologies (O33) |