Persuading Investors: A Video-Based Study

Working Paper: NBER ID: w29048

Authors: Allen Hu; Song Ma

Abstract: Persuasive communication functions not only through content but also delivery, e.g., facial expression, tone of voice, and diction. This paper examines the persuasiveness of delivery in start-up pitches. Using machine learning (ML) algorithms to process full pitch videos, we quantify persuasion in visual, vocal, and verbal dimensions. Positive (i.e., passionate, warm) pitches increase funding probability. Yet conditional on funding, high-positivity startups underperform. Women are more heavily judged on delivery when evaluating single-gender teams, but they are neglected when co-pitching with men in mixed-gender teams. Using an experiment, we show persuasion delivery works mainly through leading investors to form inaccurate beliefs.

Keywords: persuasion; startup pitches; machine learning; investor behavior; gender bias

JEL Codes: C55; D91; G24; G41


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Pitch positivity (B40)Funding probability (G17)
Pitch positivity (B40)Startup performance (M13)
Positive pitch features (E32)Long-term startup performance (M13)
Investor beliefs about positivity (G40)Investment quality (L15)
Gender dynamics (J16)Investment decisions (G11)

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