Collective Progress Dynamics of Exit Waves

Working Paper: NBER ID: w29008

Authors: Doruk Cetemen; Can Urgun; Leeat Yariv

Abstract: We study a model of collective search by teams. Discoveries beget discoveries and correlated search results are governed by a Brownian path. Search results' variation at any point---the search scope---is jointly controlled. Agents individually choose when to cease search and implement their best discovery. We characterize equilibrium and optimal policies. Search scope is constant and independent of search outcomes as long as no member leaves. It declines after departures. A simple drawdown stopping boundary governs each agent’s search termination. We show the emergence of endogenous exit waves, whereby possibly heterogeneous agents cease search all at once.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: C73; D81; D83; O35


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
alliance stability (D74)search efficiency (G14)
drawdown stopping boundary (C62)individual agents' search termination (D83)
observed performance (C90)decision-making (D70)
marginal to fixed cost ratio (D24)timing of exits (C41)
individual cost structures (L11)group dynamics (C92)

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