Terrorism and Political Attitudes: Evidence from European Social Surveys

Working Paper: NBER ID: w28662

Authors: Giovanni Peri; Daniel I. Rees; Brock Smith

Abstract: Since the turn of the last century, nationalistic political parties have been gaining support in Europe. Over the same period, terror attacks have increased. Using data from European Social Surveys (ESS), we examine the effects of terror attacks involving at least one fatality on attitudes towards immigrants and government institutions. Comparing within-country responses to the ESS shortly before and after fatal terror attacks, we find little evidence of a shift in attitudes against immigrants. Consistent with “rally-around-the flag” effects documented by political scientists, ESS respondents living in the region that was attacked tend to express more trust in parliament and more satisfaction with the national government in the post- as compared to the pre-attack period. Similarly, we find evidence that particularly salient terror attacks can produce nationwide rally-around-the-flag effects.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: H56


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Terror attacks (H56)Trust in government institutions (H10)
Terror attacks (H56)Satisfaction with national government (H10)
Terror attacks (H56)Anti-immigrant sentiment (F22)
High-profile attacks (e.g., Charlie Hebdo) (Y50)Trust in government institutions (H10)

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