Just Above the Exam Cutoff Score: Elite College Admission and Wages in China

Working Paper: NBER ID: w28450

Authors: Ruixue Jia; Hongbin Li

Abstract: A burgeoning literature has documented the importance of elite colleges. Yet, little is known about access to elite education and its labor market implications in China, a country that produces one in every five college graduates in the world. College admission in China is governed by a single exam—the national college entrance exam, and the government sets admission cutoff scores for elite colleges. We examine the impacts of scoring above the elite-tier cutoff on a student's access to elite colleges and wage outcomes after graduation, using the discontinuity around the cutoff score. By employing hand-collected survey data, we find that scoring above the cutoff not only increases the chance of entering an elite college but also raises a young person's first-job wages after graduation. We also find that those just above the cutoff have peers with higher scores and better social networks than those below the cutoff, but it is less clear whether the two groups use their time differently in college.

Keywords: elite college admission; wages; China; college entrance exam; social mobility

JEL Codes: H1; I20; I25; I26


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Attending an elite college (D29)Long-term impact on wage outcomes (J31)
Attending an elite college (D29)Enhances first-job wage outcomes (J68)
Scoring above the elite college cutoff (D29)Increases the probability of admission to elite colleges (D29)
Scoring above the elite college cutoff (D29)Attending an elite college (D29)

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