The Equity Premium Puzzle and the Risk-Free Rate Puzzle

Working Paper: NBER ID: w2829

Authors: Philippe Weil

Abstract: This paper studies the implications for general equilibrium asset pricing of a recently introduced class of Kreps-Porteus non-expected utility preferences, which is characterized by a constant intertemporal elasticity of substitution and a constant, but unrelated, coefficient of relative risk aversion. It is shown that the solution to the "equity premium puzzle" documented by Mehra and Prescott [19851 cannot be found, for plausibly calibrated parameter values, by simply separating risk aversion from intertemporal substitution. Rather, relaxing the parametric restriction on tastes implicit in the time-addictive expected utility specification and adopting Kreps-Porteus preferences in the direction of "more realism" is likely to add a "riskfree rate puzzle" to Mehra's and Prescott's "equity premium puzzle."

Keywords: equity premium; risk-free rate; asset pricing; nonexpected utility; preferences

JEL Codes: G12; D81


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
preference specifications (L15)asset pricing outcomes (G19)
Kreps-Porteus preferences (D11)equity premium puzzle (G12)
Kreps-Porteus preferences (D11)risk-free rate puzzle (G19)
separating risk aversion from intertemporal substitution (D11)equity premium puzzle (G12)

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