Issuance and Incidence: SNAP Benefit Cycles and Grocery Prices

Working Paper: NBER ID: w28221

Authors: Jacob Goldin; Tatiana Homonoff; Katherine Meckel

Abstract: Many safety-net programs issue benefits as monthly lump-sum payments. We investigate how the timing of Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) benefit issuance affects food purchases and the incidence of the transfer. Using retail scanner data from a large sample of grocery stores and state and time variation in SNAP issuance schedules, we document large, SNAP-induced intra-month cycles in food expenditures. However, we find that retailers do not adjust prices based on these predictable patterns of demand. Our results therefore suggest that reforming issuance schedules reduce costs from SNAP-induced demand surges but are unlikely to affect the incidence of SNAP benefits.

Keywords: SNAP; Food Purchases; Grocery Prices; Benefit Issuance

JEL Codes: H0; H53; I38


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
SNAP benefit issuance (H53)food expenditures (D12)
SNAP benefit issuance (H53)food sales (L81)
SNAP benefit issuance (in low-income areas) (H53)food sales (L81)
SNAP benefit issuance (H53)SNAP-ineligible grocery purchases (H53)
SNAP benefit issuance (H53)retailer pricing response (L11)

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