Initial Public Offerings: Investor Behavior and Underpricing

Working Paper: NBER ID: w2806

Authors: Robert J. Shiller

Abstract: A questionnaire survey of investors in initial public offerings (IPO's) was undertaken to learn about patterns of investor behavior that might be relevant to theories of their underpricing. Respondents were asked for their perception of the allocation process, their concern with stockbroker or underwriter reputation, their theories of IPO underpricing, and their communications and information sources. Results are interpreted as supporting the notion that there is an element of truth in some existing theories of IPO underpricing. and also suggesting different hypotheses. The impresario hypothesis is that underwriters deliberately underprice to obtain publicity and promote enthusiasm. Other hypotheses suggested by the results are an investor risk perception hypothesis and a fairness-relationship hypothesis.

Keywords: IPO; underpricing; investor behavior; allocation process

JEL Codes: G14; G24


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Underwriters deliberately underprice IPOs (G24)Positive investor sentiment (G19)
Underwriters deliberately underprice IPOs (G24)Demand for IPOs (G24)
Investors' perceptions of risk (G11)Investment decisions (G11)
Perceived fairness in the allocation process (D63)Willingness to invest (G31)

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