Employment Effects of the Earned Income Tax Credit: Taking the Long View

Working Paper: NBER ID: w28041

Authors: Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach; Michael R. Strain

Abstract: The Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) is the cornerstone U.S. anti-poverty program for families with children, typically lifting millions of children out of poverty each year. Targeted to low-income households with children, and only available to those who work, the EITC contains strong incentives for non-workers to become employed. Most of the existing economics literature focuses on federal EITC expansions in the 1980s and 1990s. This paper takes a longer view, studying all federal expansions since the program’s inception in 1975. We find robust evidence that EITC expansions increase the extensive margin of labor supply.

Keywords: Earned Income Tax Credit; EITC; Labor Supply; Employment Effects; Poverty Reduction

JEL Codes: H2; J08; J2


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
EITC introduction in 1975 (H26)Employment rates among lower-educated unmarried mothers (J12)
EITC expansion in 1986 (H31)Employment rates among lower-educated unmarried mothers (J12)
EITC expansion in 1990 (H31)Employment rates among lower-educated unmarried mothers (J12)
EITC expansion in 1993 (H31)Employment rates among lower-educated unmarried mothers (J12)
$1,000 increase in EITC credit (H31)Employment rates among unmarried mothers with low levels of education (J12)
EITC effects (H31)Employment rates among unmarried mothers with low levels of education (J12)

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