The Effects of the Affordable Care Act on the Near Elderly: Evidence for Health Insurance Coverage and Labor Market Outcomes

Working Paper: NBER ID: w27936

Authors: Mark Duggan; Gopi Shah Goda; Gina Li

Abstract: The Affordable Care Act (ACA) not only changed the landscape of health insurance coverage in the United States, but also affected the relationship between working decisions and health insurance. In this paper, we estimate the impact of the ACA on the near-elderly (ages 60- 64) in the five years after the implementation of its key provisions in early 2014. We exploit variation across geographic areas in the pre-existing level of uninsurance and use 65-69 year olds, whose insurance coverage was unaffected by the ACA, as a within-region control group. Our findings indicate that the ACA increased health insurance coverage among the near elderly by 4.5 percentage points and reduced their labor force participation rate by 0.6 percentage points.

Keywords: Affordable Care Act; Health Insurance Coverage; Labor Market Outcomes; Near Elderly

JEL Codes: H2; H31; H51; H75; I13; J14; J21; J26


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
ACA (G52)health insurance coverage (I13)
pre-existing uninsurance rate (I13)health insurance coverage (I13)
ACA (G52)labor force participation rates (J49)
health insurance coverage (I13)labor force participation rates (J49)
ACA (G52)unemployment rates (J64)
ACA (G52)self-employment rates (J23)

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