Working Paper: NBER ID: w27889
Authors: Paul A. Gompers; Steven N. Kaplan; Vladimir Mukharlyamov
Abstract: We survey more than 200 private equity (PE) managers from firms with $1.9 trillion of assets under management (AUM) about their portfolio performance, decisionmaking and activities during the Covid-19 pandemic. Given that PE managers have significant incentives to maximize value, their actions during the current pandemic should indicate what they perceive as being important for both the preservation and creation of value. PE managers believe that 40% of their portfolio companies are moderately negatively affected and 10% are very negatively affected by the pandemic. The private equity managers—both investment and operating partners— are actively engaged in the operations, governance, and financing in all of their current portfolio companies. These activities are more intensively pursued in those companies that have been more severely affected by the Covid-19 pandemic. As a result of the pandemic, they expect the performance of their existing funds to decline. They are more pessimistic about that decline than the VCs surveyed in Gompers et al. (2020b). Despite the pandemic, private equity managers are seeking new investments. Relative to the 2012 survey results reported in Gompers, Kaplan, and Mukharlyamov (2016): the PE investors place a greater weight on revenue growth for value creation; they give a larger equity stake to management teams; and, they also appear to target somewhat lower returns.
Keywords: private equity; COVID-19; portfolio performance; decision-making
JEL Codes: G24; G31; G32
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| COVID-19 (I15) | negative performance outcomes (D91) |
| actions of PE managers (M50) | mitigate negative performance outcomes (D29) |
| COVID-19 (I15) | actions of PE managers (M50) |
| actions of PE managers in red light companies (G34) | performance of portfolio companies (L25) |
| PE managers' engagement (G34) | performance of severely affected companies (G33) |
| expected decline in IRR (G19) | negative performance outcomes (D91) |
| expected decline in MOIC (G33) | negative performance outcomes (D91) |