Working Paper: NBER ID: w27007
Authors: Christopher Avery; William Bossert; Adam Clark; Glenn Ellison; Sara Fisher Ellison
Abstract: This paper provides a critical review of models of the spread of the coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) epidemic that have been influential in recent policy decisions. There is tremendous opportunity for social scientists to advance the relevant literature as new and better data becomes available to bolster economic outcomes and save lives.
Keywords: COVID-19; Epidemiological Models; Public Policy; Economic Outcomes
JEL Codes: C60; I10
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| social distancing measures (I14) | decrease in the rate of new infections (J11) |
| epidemiological models (C31) | governmental policy decisions (E60) |
| model predictions (C59) | public behavior (C92) |
| public behavior (C92) | decrease in the rate of new infections (J11) |