Working Paper: NBER ID: w26969
Authors: Jeffrey Clemens; Michael R. Strain
Abstract: A holistic assessment of the labor market effects of minimum wage regulation requires understanding employer compliance. We investigate how minimum wage increases and the strength of enforcement regimes affect the prevalence of subminimum wage payment. Using the Current Population Survey (CPS), we find strong evidence that higher minimum wages lead to a greater prevalence of subminimum wage payment. We estimate that increases in measured underpayment following minimum wage increases average between 14 and 22 percent of realized wage gains. Furthermore, we provide evidence that these estimates are unlikely to be driven by measurement error in the CPS’s wage data, which are self-reported. Taken together, we interpret these findings as evidence that minimum wage noncompliance is an important reality in the low-wage labor market. We find some evidence that enforcement regimes mediate both baseline rates of subminimum wage payment and the response of subminimum wage payment to increases in minimum wages.
Keywords: Minimum Wage; Wage Theft; Labor Market; Compliance
JEL Codes: J08; J38; K42
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| higher minimum wages (J38) | increased prevalence of workers reporting subminimum wages (J38) |
| each dollar increase in the minimum wage (J38) | average wage gain of approximately 27 cents (J31) |
| each dollar increase in the minimum wage (J38) | increase in underpayment (H26) |
| stronger enforcement (P14) | lower rates of subminimum wage payment (J38) |
| increases in subminimum wage payment (J38) | average between 14 and 22 percent of realized wage gains (J31) |