Labor Market Polarization and the Great Urban Divergence

Working Paper: NBER ID: w26955

Authors: Donald R. Davis; Eric Mengus; Tomasz K. Michalski

Abstract: Labor market polarization is among the most important features in recent decades of advanced country labor markets. Yet key spatial aspects of this phenomenon remain under-explored. We develop four key facts that document the universality of polarization, a city-size difference in the shock magnitudes, a skew in the types of middle-paid jobs lost, and the role of polarization in the great urban divergence. Existing theories cannot account for these facts. Hence we develop a parsimonious theoretical account that does so by integrating elements from the literatures on labor market polarization and systems of cities with heterogeneous labor in spatial equilibrium.

Keywords: labor market polarization; urban divergence; economic inequality; France

JEL Codes: J21; R12; R13


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
labor market shocks (J49)labor market polarization (J48)
initial exposure to middle-paid jobs (J68)middle-paid job loss in large cities (R23)
destruction of upper tier middle-paid jobs (F66)greater loss of middle-paid jobs in large cities (F66)
labor market polarization (J48)great urban divergence (R12)

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