How Political Insiders Lose Out When International Aid Underperforms: Evidence from a Participatory Development Experiment in Ghana

Working Paper: NBER ID: w26930

Authors: Kate Baldwin; Dean Karlan; Christopher R. Udry; Ernest Appiah

Abstract: Participatory development is designed to mitigate problems of political bias in pre-existing local government but also interacts with it in complex ways. Using a five-year randomized controlled study in 97 clusters of villages (194 villages) in Ghana, we analyze the effects of a major participatory development program on participation in, leadership of and investment by preexisting political institutions, and on households’ overall socioeconomic well-being. Applying theoretical insights on political participation and redistributive politics, we consider the possibility of both cross-institutional mobilization and displacement, and heterogeneous effects by partisanship. We find the government and its political supporters acted with high expectations for the participatory approach: treatment led to increased participation in local governance and reallocation of resources. But the results did not meet expectations, resulting in a worsening of socioeconomic wellbeing in treatment versus control villages for government supporters. This demonstrates international aid’s complex distributional consequences.

Keywords: international aid; participatory development; political institutions; Ghana; socioeconomic wellbeing

JEL Codes: H4; H7; O12; O17; O19


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Participatory development program (O20)Increase in participation in local governance for government supporters (D72)
Participatory development program (O20)Decrease in participation for non-NDC households (D19)
Participatory development program (O20)No significant change in perceptions of accountability of district assembly members (D79)
Participatory development program (O20)Decrease in voter turnout (K16)
Participatory development program (O20)Decrease in voter turnout in NDC-affiliated villages (K16)
Participatory development program (O20)Increase in candidates running for office (D79)

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