Rising Bank Concentration

Working Paper: NBER ID: w26838

Authors: Dean Corbae; Pablo Derasmo

Abstract: Concentration of insured deposit funding among the top four commercial banks in the U.S. has risen from 15% in 1984 to 44% in 2018, a roughly three-fold increase. Regulation has often been attributed as a factor in that increase. The Riegle-Neal Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act of 1994 removed many of the restrictions on opening bank branches across state lines. We interpret the Riegle-Neal act as lowering the cost of expanding a bank's funding base. In this paper, we build an industry equilibrium model in which banks endogenously climb a funding base ladder. Rising concentration occurs along a transition path between two steady states after branching costs decline.

Keywords: Bank Concentration; Regulation; Riegle-Neal Act; Market Structure; Risk-Taking Behavior

JEL Codes: E44; G21; L11; L13


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Riegle-Neal Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act of 1994 (G28)increased concentration among the top four banks in the U.S. (F65)
lowered costs of expanding a bank's funding base (G21)increased concentration among the top four banks in the U.S. (F65)
idiosyncratic shocks to deposits and loan portfolios (G21)endogenous adjustment of bank sizes (G21)
increased concentration (D30)different risk profiles of larger banks compared to smaller banks (G21)

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