Perceived Precautionary Savings Motives: Evidence from Fintech

Working Paper: NBER ID: w26817

Authors: Francesco Dacunto; Thomas Rauter; Christoph K. Scheuch; Michael Weber

Abstract: We study the spending response of first-time borrowers to an overdraft facility and elicit their preferences, beliefs, and motives through a FinTech application. Users increase their spending permanently, lower their savings rate, and reallocate spending from non-discretionary to discretionary goods. Interestingly, liquid users react more than others but do not tap into negative deposits. The credit line acts as a form of insurance. These results are not fully consistent with models of financial constraints, buffer stock models, or present-bias preferences. We label this channel perceived precautionary savings motives: Liquid users behave as if they faced strong precautionary savings motives even though no observables, including elicited preferences and beliefs, suggest they should.

Keywords: precautionary savings; fintech; overdraft facility; household consumption; credit

JEL Codes: D14; E21; E51; G21; G51


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
liquid users (L95)spending reaction (E62)
spending behavior (D12)precautionary savings motives (D14)
overdraft availability (G21)insurance rather than consumption financing (G52)
overdraft availability (G21)spending behavior (D12)
overdraft availability (G21)spending by first-time borrowers (G51)
overdraft availability (G21)spending response to credit (E62)

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