Trust in Risk Sharing: A Double-Edged Sword

Working Paper: NBER ID: w26667

Authors: Harold L. Cole; Dirk Krueger; George J. Mailath; Yena Park

Abstract: We analyze efficient risk-sharing arrangements when the value from deviating is determined endogenously by another risk sharing arrangement. Coalitions form to insure against idiosyncratic income risk. Self-enforcing contracts for both the original coalition and any coalition formed (joined) after deviations rely on a belief in future cooperation which we term “trust”. We treat the contracting conditions of original and deviation coalitions symmetrically and show that higher trust tightens incentive constraints since it facilitates the formation of deviating coalitions. As a consequence, although trust facilitates the initial formation of coalitions, the extent of risk sharing in successfully formed coalitions is declining in the extent of trust and efficient allocations might feature resource burning or utility burning: trust is indeed a double-edged sword.

Keywords: trust; risk sharing; coalitions; economic cooperation

JEL Codes: D15; D16; E20


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
trust (G21)coalition formation (C71)
trust (G21)opportunistic behavior (D16)
trust (G21)risk-sharing (D16)

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