Working Paper: NBER ID: w26616
Authors: Pinar Yildirim; Andrei Simonov; Maria Petrova; Ricardo Perez-Truglia
Abstract: Using micro data from the American Red Cross (ARC) and Federal Election Commission (FEC) in two natural experiments, we provide evidence that political and charitable giving are substitutes. In the first natural experiment, we estimate the effects of a positive shock to charitable donations to the ARC: foreign natural disaster events. We find that while charitable donations to ARC increase by 34.9% in the six weeks following a disaster, political donations decline by 18.8% in the same period. Put differently, each 1% increase in the charitable giving to ARC is accompanied by a 0.53% drop in political donations. At the average county-week level donations, the implied effect of a $1 increase in charitable giving is a $0.42 decline in political donations. In the second natural experiment, we estimate the effects of a positive shock to political giving: advertisements for political campaigns. Using a designated market area (DMA) boundary approach, we find that political advertisements increase political giving while they decrease charitable donations to ARC. Our estimates imply that each 1% increase in the political giving is accompanied by a 0.59% drop in charitable donations to ARC. At the average county-week level donations, the implied effect of a $1 increase in political giving is a $0.33 decline in charitable donations. The crowding out elasticities suggest that political and charitable giving are relatively close substitutes. We provide a number of robustness checks, and we discuss potential causal mechanisms.
Keywords: charitable giving; political donations; substitutability; natural experiments
JEL Codes: D64; H84
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| donations to ARC (D64) | political donations (D72) |
| political donations (D72) | charitable donations (D64) |
| political advertising (M38) | political donations (D72) |
| political advertising (M38) | charitable donations (D64) |
| foreign natural disaster (H84) | donations to ARC (D64) |
| foreign natural disaster (H84) | political donations (D72) |