Moved to Vote: The Long-Run Effects of Neighborhoods on Political Participation

Working Paper: NBER ID: w26515

Authors: Eric Chyn; Kareem Haggag

Abstract: How does one's childhood neighborhood shape political engagement later in life? We leverage a natural experiment that moved children out of disadvantaged neighborhoods to study effects on their voting behavior more than a decade later. Using linked administrative data, we find that children who were displaced by public housing demolitions and moved using housing vouchers are 12 percent (3.3 percentage points) more likely to vote in adulthood, relative to their non-displaced peers. We argue that this result is unlikely to be driven by changes in incarceration or in their parents' outcomes, but rather by improvements in education and labor market outcomes, and perhaps by socialization. These results suggest that, in addition to reducing economic inequality, housing assistance programs that improve one's childhood neighborhood may be a useful tool in reducing inequality in political participation.

Keywords: political participation; neighborhood effects; housing assistance; voting behavior

JEL Codes: D72; H75; I38; J13; R23; R38


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Public housing demolitions (R28)moving to higher opportunity neighborhoods (R23)
Moving to higher opportunity neighborhoods (R23)political participation (D72)
Displacement from public housing (R28)increased likelihood of voting (K16)
Displacement from public housing (R28)increased voting in general elections (K16)
Incarceration rates (K14)voting outcomes (D72)
Educational improvements (I29)political participation (D72)
Labor market outcomes (J48)political participation (D72)

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