The International Monetary System: Developments and Prospects

Working Paper: NBER ID: w2648

Authors: Jacob A. Frenkel; Morris Goldstein

Abstract: This paper addresses several fundamental issues raised by recent developments in the world economy and considers their implications for the design and functioning of the international monetary system. We do not make any proposals. The four issues examined in the paper are: (1) Can the exchange rate regime do much to discipline fiscal policy?; (2) What are the extent and costs of reduced monetary independence under greater fixity of exchange rates?; (3) How can the equilibrium exchange rate best be determined?; (4) Does a well functioning international monetary system require a clearly defined set of rules, an acknowledged leader, and an explicit anchor?

Keywords: International Monetary System; Exchange Rates; Fiscal Policy; Monetary Policy

JEL Codes: F3; F4


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
fixed exchange rate regime (F33)discipline to fiscal policy (E62)
fixed exchange rate regime (F33)responsible fiscal behavior (E62)
fixed exchange rate regime (F33)irresponsible fiscal policies (E62)
target zones (R32)monetary policy loosening (E52)
managed floating regimes (F33)reduce perverse monetary policy responses (E52)

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